{
  "lesson_id": "PLN-015",
  "evaluation_time": "2026-09-16T08:30:00Z",
  "cases": [
    {
      "case_id": "stable_repeated",
      "observation_present": true,
      "window_valid": true,
      "region_consistent": true,
      "baseline_present": true,
      "normalized_signal": 78,
      "hypothesis_present": true,
      "alternative_present": true,
      "replication_count": 3,
      "corroborating": true,
      "counter_signal": false,
      "seasonality_checked": true,
      "confidence": "HIGH",
      "provenance_complete": true,
      "source_freshness": "CURRENT",
      "window_comparable": true
    },
    {
      "case_id": "one_extreme_spike",
      "observation_present": true,
      "window_valid": true,
      "region_consistent": true,
      "baseline_present": true,
      "normalized_signal": 100,
      "hypothesis_present": true,
      "alternative_present": true,
      "replication_count": 1,
      "corroborating": false,
      "counter_signal": false,
      "seasonality_checked": true,
      "confidence": "LOW",
      "provenance_complete": true,
      "source_freshness": "CURRENT",
      "window_comparable": true
    },
    {
      "case_id": "region_disappears",
      "observation_present": true,
      "window_valid": true,
      "region_consistent": false,
      "baseline_present": true,
      "normalized_signal": 9,
      "hypothesis_present": true,
      "alternative_present": true,
      "replication_count": 2,
      "corroborating": false,
      "counter_signal": true,
      "seasonality_checked": true,
      "confidence": "LOW",
      "provenance_complete": true,
      "source_freshness": "CURRENT",
      "window_comparable": true
    },
    {
      "case_id": "seasonal_explanation",
      "observation_present": true,
      "window_valid": true,
      "region_consistent": true,
      "baseline_present": true,
      "normalized_signal": 72,
      "hypothesis_present": true,
      "alternative_present": true,
      "replication_count": 2,
      "corroborating": true,
      "counter_signal": true,
      "seasonality_checked": false,
      "confidence": "MEDIUM",
      "provenance_complete": true,
      "source_freshness": "CURRENT",
      "window_comparable": true
    },
    {
      "case_id": "emerging_pattern",
      "observation_present": true,
      "window_valid": true,
      "region_consistent": true,
      "baseline_present": true,
      "normalized_signal": 66,
      "hypothesis_present": true,
      "alternative_present": true,
      "replication_count": 2,
      "corroborating": true,
      "counter_signal": false,
      "seasonality_checked": true,
      "confidence": "MEDIUM",
      "provenance_complete": true,
      "source_freshness": "CURRENT",
      "window_comparable": true
    },
    {
      "case_id": "missing_provenance",
      "observation_present": true,
      "window_valid": true,
      "region_consistent": true,
      "baseline_present": true,
      "normalized_signal": 70,
      "hypothesis_present": true,
      "alternative_present": true,
      "replication_count": 3,
      "corroborating": true,
      "counter_signal": false,
      "seasonality_checked": true,
      "confidence": "HIGH",
      "provenance_complete": false,
      "source_freshness": "CURRENT",
      "window_comparable": true
    },
    {
      "case_id": "stale_source",
      "observation_present": true,
      "window_valid": true,
      "region_consistent": true,
      "baseline_present": true,
      "normalized_signal": 70,
      "hypothesis_present": true,
      "alternative_present": true,
      "replication_count": 3,
      "corroborating": true,
      "counter_signal": false,
      "seasonality_checked": true,
      "confidence": "HIGH",
      "provenance_complete": true,
      "source_freshness": "STALE",
      "window_comparable": true
    },
    {
      "case_id": "transfer_window_growth_disappears",
      "observation_present": true,
      "window_valid": true,
      "region_consistent": true,
      "baseline_present": true,
      "normalized_signal": 41,
      "hypothesis_present": true,
      "alternative_present": true,
      "replication_count": 2,
      "corroborating": false,
      "counter_signal": true,
      "seasonality_checked": true,
      "confidence": "LOW",
      "provenance_complete": true,
      "source_freshness": "CURRENT",
      "window_comparable": false
    }
  ]
}