{
  "schema": "ARC012_LAB_CASES_v1",
  "cases": [
    {
      "pilot_id": "PILOT-AI-VERIFY-01",
      "risky_assumption": "operators can verify assisted outputs within target time without safety degradation",
      "hypothesis": "median verification <=60s AND unsafe escape <=2%",
      "minimum_scope": "one workflow; trained operators; synthetic/non-sensitive cases",
      "baseline": "median verification 90s; unsafe escape 1.5%",
      "primary_measure": "median verification seconds",
      "guardrail_measure": "unsafe escape rate",
      "sample_boundary": "120 cases; 6 trained operators; one workflow",
      "timebox": "4 weeks",
      "decision_date": "2026-10-15",
      "stop_condition": "guardrail >2% or severe safety event",
      "pivot_condition": "primary >60s with guardrail <=2% and bounded change testable",
      "continue_condition": "primary <=60s AND guardrail <=2% with complete evidence",
      "production_claim": "forbidden",
      "evidence_ref": "SYN-PILOT-BASELINE",
      "primary_target": 60,
      "guardrail_limit": 0.02,
      "scope_changed": false,
      "hypothesis_rebound": true,
      "threshold_changed_after_results": false,
      "evidence_age_days": 3,
      "max_evidence_age_days": 30,
      "production_ready_claim": false,
      "pivot_available": false,
      "blocked_by_owner_policy": false,
      "case_id": "baseline_continue",
      "primary_value": 52,
      "guardrail_value": 0.01
    },
    {
      "pilot_id": "PILOT-AI-VERIFY-01",
      "risky_assumption": "operators can verify assisted outputs within target time without safety degradation",
      "hypothesis": "median verification <=60s AND unsafe escape <=2%",
      "minimum_scope": "one workflow; trained operators; synthetic/non-sensitive cases",
      "baseline": "median verification 90s; unsafe escape 1.5%",
      "primary_measure": "median verification seconds",
      "guardrail_measure": "unsafe escape rate",
      "sample_boundary": "120 cases; 6 trained operators; one workflow",
      "timebox": "4 weeks",
      "decision_date": "2026-10-15",
      "stop_condition": "guardrail >2% or severe safety event",
      "pivot_condition": "primary >60s with guardrail <=2% and bounded change testable",
      "continue_condition": "primary <=60s AND guardrail <=2% with complete evidence",
      "production_claim": "forbidden",
      "evidence_ref": "SYN-PILOT-BASELINE",
      "primary_target": 60,
      "guardrail_limit": 0.02,
      "scope_changed": false,
      "hypothesis_rebound": true,
      "threshold_changed_after_results": false,
      "evidence_age_days": 3,
      "max_evidence_age_days": 30,
      "production_ready_claim": false,
      "pivot_available": false,
      "blocked_by_owner_policy": false,
      "case_id": "guardrail_breach",
      "primary_value": 48,
      "guardrail_value": 0.05
    },
    {
      "pilot_id": "PILOT-AI-VERIFY-01",
      "risky_assumption": "operators can verify assisted outputs within target time without safety degradation",
      "hypothesis": "median verification <=60s AND unsafe escape <=2%",
      "minimum_scope": "one workflow; trained operators; synthetic/non-sensitive cases",
      "baseline": "median verification 90s; unsafe escape 1.5%",
      "primary_measure": "median verification seconds",
      "guardrail_measure": "unsafe escape rate",
      "sample_boundary": "120 cases; 6 trained operators; one workflow",
      "timebox": "4 weeks",
      "decision_date": "2026-10-15",
      "stop_condition": "guardrail >2% or severe safety event",
      "pivot_condition": "primary >60s with guardrail <=2% and bounded change testable",
      "continue_condition": "primary <=60s AND guardrail <=2% with complete evidence",
      "production_claim": "forbidden",
      "evidence_ref": "SYN-PILOT-BASELINE",
      "primary_target": 60,
      "guardrail_limit": 0.02,
      "scope_changed": false,
      "hypothesis_rebound": true,
      "threshold_changed_after_results": false,
      "evidence_age_days": 3,
      "max_evidence_age_days": 30,
      "production_ready_claim": false,
      "pivot_available": true,
      "blocked_by_owner_policy": false,
      "case_id": "primary_miss_pivot",
      "primary_value": 72,
      "guardrail_value": 0.01
    },
    {
      "pilot_id": "PILOT-AI-VERIFY-01",
      "risky_assumption": "operators can verify assisted outputs within target time without safety degradation",
      "hypothesis": "median verification <=60s AND unsafe escape <=2%",
      "minimum_scope": "one workflow; trained operators; synthetic/non-sensitive cases",
      "baseline": "median verification 90s; unsafe escape 1.5%",
      "primary_measure": "median verification seconds",
      "guardrail_measure": "unsafe escape rate",
      "sample_boundary": "120 cases; 6 trained operators; one workflow",
      "timebox": "4 weeks",
      "decision_date": "2026-10-15",
      "stop_condition": "guardrail >2% or severe safety event",
      "pivot_condition": "primary >60s with guardrail <=2% and bounded change testable",
      "continue_condition": "primary <=60s AND guardrail <=2% with complete evidence",
      "production_claim": "forbidden",
      "evidence_ref": "SYN-PILOT-BASELINE",
      "primary_target": 60,
      "guardrail_limit": 0.02,
      "scope_changed": true,
      "hypothesis_rebound": false,
      "threshold_changed_after_results": false,
      "evidence_age_days": 3,
      "max_evidence_age_days": 30,
      "production_ready_claim": false,
      "pivot_available": false,
      "blocked_by_owner_policy": false,
      "case_id": "scope_expanded_no_rebind",
      "primary_value": 50,
      "guardrail_value": 0.01
    },
    {
      "pilot_id": "PILOT-AI-VERIFY-01",
      "risky_assumption": "operators can verify assisted outputs within target time without safety degradation",
      "hypothesis": "median verification <=60s AND unsafe escape <=2%",
      "minimum_scope": "one workflow; trained operators; synthetic/non-sensitive cases",
      "baseline": "median verification 90s; unsafe escape 1.5%",
      "primary_measure": "median verification seconds",
      "guardrail_measure": "unsafe escape rate",
      "sample_boundary": "120 cases; 6 trained operators; one workflow",
      "timebox": "4 weeks",
      "decision_date": "2026-10-15",
      "stop_condition": "guardrail >2% or severe safety event",
      "pivot_condition": "primary >60s with guardrail <=2% and bounded change testable",
      "continue_condition": "primary <=60s AND guardrail <=2% with complete evidence",
      "production_claim": "forbidden",
      "evidence_ref": "",
      "primary_target": 60,
      "guardrail_limit": 0.02,
      "scope_changed": false,
      "hypothesis_rebound": true,
      "threshold_changed_after_results": false,
      "evidence_age_days": 3,
      "max_evidence_age_days": 30,
      "production_ready_claim": false,
      "pivot_available": false,
      "blocked_by_owner_policy": false,
      "case_id": "missing_decisive_evidence",
      "primary_value": 50,
      "guardrail_value": 0.01
    },
    {
      "pilot_id": "PILOT-AI-VERIFY-01",
      "risky_assumption": "operators can verify assisted outputs within target time without safety degradation",
      "hypothesis": "median verification <=60s AND unsafe escape <=2%",
      "minimum_scope": "one workflow; trained operators; synthetic/non-sensitive cases",
      "baseline": "median verification 90s; unsafe escape 1.5%",
      "primary_measure": "median verification seconds",
      "guardrail_measure": "unsafe escape rate",
      "sample_boundary": "120 cases; 6 trained operators; one workflow",
      "timebox": "4 weeks",
      "decision_date": "2026-10-15",
      "stop_condition": "guardrail >2% or severe safety event",
      "pivot_condition": "primary >60s with guardrail <=2% and bounded change testable",
      "continue_condition": "primary <=60s AND guardrail <=2% with complete evidence",
      "production_claim": "forbidden",
      "evidence_ref": "SYN-PILOT-BASELINE",
      "primary_target": 75,
      "guardrail_limit": 0.02,
      "scope_changed": false,
      "hypothesis_rebound": true,
      "threshold_changed_after_results": true,
      "evidence_age_days": 3,
      "max_evidence_age_days": 30,
      "production_ready_claim": false,
      "pivot_available": false,
      "blocked_by_owner_policy": false,
      "case_id": "posthoc_threshold_change",
      "primary_value": 68,
      "guardrail_value": 0.01
    },
    {
      "pilot_id": "PILOT-AI-VERIFY-01",
      "risky_assumption": "operators can verify assisted outputs within target time without safety degradation",
      "hypothesis": "median verification <=60s AND unsafe escape <=2%",
      "minimum_scope": "one workflow; trained operators; synthetic/non-sensitive cases",
      "baseline": "median verification 90s; unsafe escape 1.5%",
      "primary_measure": "median verification seconds",
      "guardrail_measure": "unsafe escape rate",
      "sample_boundary": "120 cases; 6 trained operators; one workflow",
      "timebox": "4 weeks",
      "decision_date": "2026-10-15",
      "stop_condition": "guardrail >2% or severe safety event",
      "pivot_condition": "primary >60s with guardrail <=2% and bounded change testable",
      "continue_condition": "primary <=60s AND guardrail <=2% with complete evidence",
      "production_claim": "forbidden",
      "evidence_ref": "SYN-PILOT-BASELINE",
      "primary_target": 60,
      "guardrail_limit": 0.02,
      "scope_changed": false,
      "hypothesis_rebound": true,
      "threshold_changed_after_results": false,
      "evidence_age_days": 45,
      "max_evidence_age_days": 30,
      "production_ready_claim": false,
      "pivot_available": false,
      "blocked_by_owner_policy": false,
      "case_id": "stale_evidence",
      "primary_value": 50,
      "guardrail_value": 0.01
    },
    {
      "pilot_id": "PILOT-AI-VERIFY-01",
      "risky_assumption": "operators can verify assisted outputs within target time without safety degradation",
      "hypothesis": "median verification <=60s AND unsafe escape <=2%",
      "minimum_scope": "one workflow; trained operators; synthetic/non-sensitive cases",
      "baseline": "median verification 90s; unsafe escape 1.5%",
      "primary_measure": "median verification seconds",
      "guardrail_measure": "unsafe escape rate",
      "sample_boundary": "120 cases; 6 trained operators; one workflow",
      "timebox": "4 weeks",
      "decision_date": "2026-10-15",
      "stop_condition": "guardrail >2% or severe safety event",
      "pivot_condition": "primary >60s with guardrail <=2% and bounded change testable",
      "continue_condition": "primary <=60s AND guardrail <=2% with complete evidence",
      "production_claim": "forbidden",
      "evidence_ref": "SYN-PILOT-INTEGRATION",
      "primary_target": 60,
      "guardrail_limit": 0.02,
      "scope_changed": false,
      "hypothesis_rebound": true,
      "threshold_changed_after_results": false,
      "evidence_age_days": 3,
      "max_evidence_age_days": 30,
      "production_ready_claim": false,
      "pivot_available": false,
      "blocked_by_owner_policy": false,
      "case_id": "transfer_integration_recomputed",
      "primary_value": 44,
      "guardrail_value": 0.015
    }
  ]
}